Theories of Change Progression
Abstract Deep Blue Water Flow

Evolution of Impact

From Logic
to Living Systems

1

Foundational

Structure Theory

"If we deliver activities people gain skills/resources outcomes improve."

2

Adaptive

Logic Theory

"If a system can sense, learn, and adapt it can respond to complexity over time."

3

Multiplication

Contribution Theory

Many small contributions Alignment Circulation Outsized Impact
4

Circulation

Stewardship Theory

Many small contributions, when aligned through stewardship and kept in circulation, compound into outsized economic and social impact.

"When dollars, effort, and trust keep moving locally, everyone gets more back."

Aerial view of rivers merging
The Guiding Principle

Theory of Change

"Small streams
—connected—
become a river."

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